Kayla Manning
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Statistics, Adams 2022
Hi! When I'm not busy concentrating in Statistics or secondary-ing in Global Health and Health Policy, you can find me either reading a good book, finding an excuse to get outdoors, or baking gluten-free treats
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HODP Election Models: Lots of uncertainty, likely a Biden win
Both HODP models predict a Biden win. But there's a lot of uncertainty in swing states: consistent state polling errors could tip the electoral college to Trump, as they did in 2016, and even with a Biden win, margins could be razor thin.
By Kayla Manning & Sam Thau